Prévisions aérologiques pour la journée du Mardi 09/06

Dernière mise à jour Arome (journee) du 09/06 à 13h08
Données de référence slot du 09/06 à 8h

Fichier grib2 Arome (12h)
Fichier pdf cartes Arome (12h)
Fichier pdf émagrammes Arome (12h)

Données altimétriques :

QNH moyen = 1022hpa QNH min = 1020hpa
FL65 = 6705ft = 2044m
FL115 = 11705ft = 3568m
FL130 = 13205ft = 4025m

Données aérologiques (heure par heure) :

42.910°N 02.055°E
Puivert		09-06-2026
09:00 LOC		09-06-2026
10:00 LOC		09-06-2026
11:00 LOC		09-06-2026
12:00 LOC		09-06-2026
13:00 LOC		09-06-2026
14:00 LOC		09-06-2026
15:00 LOC		09-06-2026
16:00 LOC		09-06-2026
17:00 LOC		09-06-2026
18:00 LOC		09-06-2026
19:00 LOC		09-06-2026
20:00 LOC
Plafond convection--1118 m1083 m1096 m1053 m1031 m983 m1099 m1153 m1248 m-
Vz convection--1.1 m/s1.1 m/s1.0 m/s1.1 m/s1.1 m/s1.0 m/s1.1 m/s1.1 m/s1.2 m/s-
CAPE49 J/kg75 J/kg19 J/kg32 J/kg18 J/kg24 J/kg12 J/kg10 J/kg9 J/kg10 J/kg12 J/kg9 J/kg
Flux solaire111 W/m²144 W/m²275 W/m²178 W/m²180 W/m²192 W/m²189 W/m²162 W/m²184 W/m²210 W/m²241 W/m²188 W/m²
Chaleur sensible27 W/m²48 W/m²84 W/m²74 W/m²61 W/m²76 W/m²82 W/m²70 W/m²70 W/m²69 W/m²75 W/m²53 W/m²
Couverture nuageuse (haute)0 %0 %0 %0 %0 %0 %0 %0 %67 %0 %0 %0 %
Couverture nuageuse (moyenne)0 %2 %0 %0 %0 %0 %0 %2 %6 %1 %3 %52 %
Couverture nuage (basse)100 %95 %100 %100 %100 %100 %100 %100 %100 %100 %91 %83 %
Cumul de précipitations0.00 mm/h0.00 mm/h0.00 mm/h0.01 mm/h0.01 mm/h0.00 mm/h0.01 mm/h0.02 mm/h0.00 mm/h0.00 mm/h0.00 mm/h0.00 mm/h
Vent (10m)302 °
10 km/h		305 °
11 km/h		280 °
11 km/h		294 °
10 km/h		294 °
10 km/h		324 °
11 km/h		299 °
11 km/h		300 °
11 km/h		273 °
11 km/h		268 °
12 km/h		274 °
12 km/h		271 °
13 km/h
Vitesse absolue des rafales (10m)28 km/h26 km/h27 km/h27 km/h24 km/h26 km/h27 km/h29 km/h26 km/h26 km/h28 km/h29 km/h
Température (2m)14.0°C14.3°C15.4°C15.2°C15.6°C15.4°C15.3°C15.0°C15.4°C15.8°C16.0°C15.8°C
Point de rosée (2m)11.6°C11.7°C11.3°C11.3°C11.7°C11.8°C11.8°C11.9°C11.5°C11.3°C10.9°C10.4°C
Ecart température-point de rosée (2m)2.4°C2.6°C4.1°C3.9°C4.0°C3.6°C3.5°C3.1°C4.0°C4.4°C5.2°C5.3°C
Pression MSL1023.0 hPa1022.7 hPa1022.1 hPa1021.9 hPa1021.9 hPa1021.7 hPa1021.4 hPa1021.3 hPa1021.0 hPa1020.5 hPa1020.3 hPa1020.3 hPa
Humidité relative (2m)85 %84 %76 %78 %77 %79 %80 %82 %77 %75 %71 %71 %
Humidité relative (850hpa)97 %99 %100 %100 %99 %100 %99 %100 %100 %97 %96 %91 %
Vent (850hpa)293 °
34 km/h		286 °
33 km/h		296 °
32 km/h		296 °
26 km/h		303 °
32 km/h		290 °
25 km/h		300 °
27 km/h		292 °
26 km/h		302 °
31 km/h		312 °
34 km/h		311 °
34 km/h		308 °
34 km/h
Vent (700hpa)252 °
48 km/h		243 °
42 km/h		245 °
47 km/h		242 °
45 km/h		245 °
48 km/h		243 °
48 km/h		245 °
47 km/h		244 °
47 km/h		243 °
46 km/h		243 °
45 km/h		246 °
45 km/h		245 °
44 km/h
Altitude géopotentielle (700hpa)3145 m3142 m3141 m3141 m3141 m3140 m3138 m3136 m3133 m3131 m3129 m3128 m
Altitude géopotentielle (600hpa)4384 m4380 m4380 m4380 m4380 m4380 m4378 m4375 m4372 m4369 m4366 m4364 m
Energie cinétique turbulente (1500m)0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²
Energie cinétique turbulente (1250m)0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²
Energie cinétique turbulente (1000m)0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.1 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²
Energie cinétique turbulente (750m)0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.4 m²/s²0.2 m²/s²0.2 m²/s²0.1 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.1 m²/s²0.3 m²/s²0.4 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²
Energie cinétique turbulente (500m)0.3 m²/s²0.3 m²/s²0.7 m²/s²0.5 m²/s²0.7 m²/s²0.5 m²/s²0.4 m²/s²0.2 m²/s²0.5 m²/s²0.8 m²/s²1.1 m²/s²0.4 m²/s²
Energie cinétique turbulente (250m)0.9 m²/s²0.9 m²/s²1.1 m²/s²0.8 m²/s²1.1 m²/s²0.9 m²/s²0.9 m²/s²0.8 m²/s²0.9 m²/s²1.1 m²/s²1.3 m²/s²1.0 m²/s²


Conversions: 850hpa=1500m / 800hpa=2000m / 700hpa=3000m / 600hpa=4200m


Prévision des plafonds à Puivert (par rapport à la mer) :

HeurePlafond
(m)		TypeCIN
(J/kg)		Saturation
(m)
9h810Nuage
10h820Nuage
11h1010Nuage
12h980Nuage
13h1000Nuage
14h940Nuage
15h930Nuage
16h870Nuage
17h1000Nuage
18h1040Bleu01060
19h1110Bleu01140
20h850Bleu01170

Meilleurs plafonds (par rapport à la mer) :

LieuHeurePlafond
(m)		TypeCIN
(J/kg)
Puivert19h1110Bleu0
Mirepoix18h1360Nuage
Foix13h830Nuage
Lavelanet13h980Nuage
StGirons18h1000Nuage
Pamiers18h1360Nuage
Espezel19h1310Bleu0
Quillan11h1100Nuage
Limoux18h1600Nuage
Axat12h1060Nuage
Llagonne13h1970Bleu18
Alp14h2650Nuage

Situation à 13h :






Situation au pic de convection (vz max à 19h) :














Emmagramme meilleur plafond (19h) :


Plus forte instabilité sur zone (12h) :

La CAPE moyenne sur zone est de 56 J/kg pour un maximum de 415 J/kg
Relevement du maximum : 146° pour 25 km
Indices max : LI=5(-) SI=6(air très stable) KI=25(proba orage 40-60%) TT=40 SWEAT=136 CAPE=4 CIN=0


Analyse onde (zone proche puivert)

Accroche à 2000m

HeureVent
(km/h)		MotifVzconv
(m/s)		 Distance
(km)		NbreVzmax
(m/s)		Score
09h267°/33(41)3|0.2200.3 1.0
10h270°/31(40)3|0.2600.2 0.7
11h263°/33(41)3|0.2400.3 0.8
12h258°/30(40)3|0.1400.2 0.7
13h258°/27(36)3|0.2400.2 0.7
14h253°/26(34)2X0.1600.2 0.6
15h255°/25(31)3/0.11500.2 0.3
16h261°/24(33)3|0.1400.2 0.6
17h264°/24(33)3|0.1400.2 0.7
18h261°/25(34)3|0.2400.3 0.8
19h261°/26(34)3|0.2400.3 0.8
20h272°/27(34)3|0.3400.4 1.0

Ressaut à 3000m

HeureVent
(km/h)		MotifVzconv
(m/s)		 Distance
(km)		NbreVzmax
(m/s)		Score
09h249°/48(51)3|0.4600.5 1.3
10h245°/46(52)3|0.3600.3 0.9
11h245°/48(54)3|0.3600.3 0.9
12h241°/49(54)3|0.2600.3 0.8
13h243°/50(53)3/0.2800.2 0.7
14h241°/49(54)3|0.2600.3 0.8
15h243°/48(51)3|0.3600.4 1.0
16h244°/47(51)3|0.3600.3 0.9
17h242°/47(49)3|0.3600.4 1.0
18h242°/47(51)3|0.3600.4 1.1
19h245°/47(51)3|0.3600.4 1.0
20h246°/47(51)3|0.4600.5 1.1